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REGULATIONSally Hunt is a special consultant and Hamish Fraser is a senior consultant with National Economic Research Associates, Inc. in New York. This is adapted from the forthcoming book, Making Competition Work in Electricity (New York: John Wiley & Sons. 2002).Trading arrangement issues are in the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission's jurisdiction, and FERC has addressed them in Order 888 in 1996 and Order 2000 in 1999 and started a standard market design (SMD) process in 2001. [See the sidebar, "Standard Market Design Basics."] Until SMD, FERC's rules have been based on the wheeling model—a model that simply does not work for full generator competition and does not work particularly well anywhere. FERC must now provide the leadership in the design of trading arrangements hitherto lacking. New trading arrangements have been established in the new competitive areas—namely, Pennsylvania-Jersey-Maryland (PJM), New York, New England, California, and Texas. The rules in each are different. The three in the Northeast developed from the old tight pools and have a family resemblance. They use the integrated trading model, wherein traders tell a system operator their physical, financial, and contractual parameters, and the operator does the trading automatically—dispatching generators in ascending order according to price and using this merit order to calculate spot and imbalance prices.The tight pool model worked efficiently in the precompetition world, and the adaptations of it are working well in the new competitive world. In fact, the tight pools were the original blueprint for the development of competitive trading arrangements around the world. It is no accident that competition found its easiest home in the tight pool states. The access and pricing rules were changed to accommodate competition, but all this was fairly straightforward to arrange given the history of pooling. California, on the other hand, had to invent a new trading system. The California trading arrangements were truly badly designed—deficient in virtually every respect—as were many other aspects of the market itself. Texas is the only other example in the United States; it only started up recently, although its independent system operator had been in place for several years (a feature, by our lights, worth emulating). The rest of the United States still uses the wheeling model. Where new trading arrangements were developed, they were developed by the utilities that use them, in conjunction with the states that they serve. They are not the wheeling-based trading arrangements that FERC has been ordering in 888 and 2000. They certainly comply with FERC's requirements but have been made to fit—something akin to shaving the corners of a square peg so it will fit in a round hole. And although FERC said in 1997, "we have seen the future, and the future is PJM," the commission has not yet actually ordered the rest of the country to adopt the PJM model. Wrong Question The wheeling model asks the wrong question and therefore comes to the wrong answer: "What is the right charge for a delivery of a scheduled flow of power over a utility's transmission lines?" It starts from a delivery schedule (which, given the nature of electricity, is a fiction anyway) and piles on a dozen more unanswerable questions, creating serious inefficiencies and major operational headaches:
Each of these steps is a problem. Electricity is not like a carpet—you don't order one and complain if they deliver you a different one. Electricity is exactly the same everywhere. It is generated and flows over the transmission network where it will. Customers do not get the same electricity their supplier sends, and no one believes they do. They get whatever electricity happens to be flowing their way at the time. We just talk as if there is a delivery schedule that gets one producer's electricity to his own customers. We imagine a single transaction as a delivery with an origin and destination. But basing trading arrangements on this fiction is what leads to errors. Metaphors can be useful, but when taken literally (as the metaphorical "delivery schedule" was in California) whole edifices can be constructed on an erroneous concept.
The United States has another problem with the wheeling model because of the large number of utility control areas. Transactions between control areas are indeed "scheduled" and thus suffer from the contract path fiction. Congestion management, imbalances, ancillary services, scheduling, and dispatch are all made more difficult and the contract path fiction more troublesome when system operator control areas are small.
It also provided utilities with a transmission reserve margin, called a capacity benefit margin (CBM), to ensure that sufficient capacity on interconnections between utility systems was available to serve the native load in case an emergency necessitated importing power from adjacent areas. After allocating transmission capacity sufficient to cover NLP and CBM to utilities, the remaining available transmission capacity (ATC, obtained by subtracting NLP and CBM from total transmission capacity) could be allocated on a first-come, first-served basis to other wholesale transmission users. ATC must be posted on the open access same time information system (OASIS) web page, and the utility's own traders must get their information from OASIS, not by internal communications. Under this scheme, transmission customers can purchase "network" service, "point-to-point firm," or "point-to-point nonfirm" transmission service. The fundamental problem with allocating ATC among the three types of service rights is its use of embedded cost pricing that bears little relationship to the economic value customers place on those rights. Therefore, transmission capacity is not allocated (except coincidentally) to those who value it most highly. Equal access under the Energy Policy Act of 1992 meant equal treatment of competitors for wholesale sales only, with priority for native load. Native load is allocated first priority, which seems right, until you realize that all load is served anyway. What is really allocated first priority is the generating plant that is used to serve native load. This can have two inefficient effects: it can give priority to a generator who is not the least cost; and it can reserve too much of the transmission, leaving capacity unused. Another problem exists when the ATC calculated and allocated in advance doesn't turn out to match the real-time available transmission capacity. When this happens—and it does because of the contract path fiction—some transactions must be curtailed, or the system must be redispatched, to relieve the constrained element. Since transmission capacity rights are not rationed economically under Order 888, the curtailment rules must follow the "natural" order of priority established by service type and level of firmness: Network service has highest priority, followed by firm service, and finally nonfirm service. Aside from the efficiency implications, the problem is that property rights are not well defined, since even an energy transaction that is covered by a long-term firm transmission right can be (partially) curtailed if the congestion problem is severe enough. TLR procedures enable system operators to address transmission congestion in terms of the physical reality of power flows on the network, curtailing transactions in proportion to their contribution to the congestion problem on a particular transmission system element, which also meant they addressed congestion caused by loop flows. Under the open access regime, the substantial increase in wholesale power transactions between and across regions and the increased use of the transmission grid in general have made the problem a more frequent occurrence. Using the TLR procedures, a transmission provider whose system becomes congested as a result of loop flows can require the curtailment of the transactions creating the loop flows. FERC Understands the Problems Even so, the problems of the wheeling model were not lost on FERC when it wrote Order 888. A close reading finds an extensive discussion of the obstacles to electricity markets created by the need for instantaneous balancing and managing the complexities of transmission usage. In particular, FERC recognized that the traditional wheeling model was built on the contract path fiction. But FERC embraced the wheeling model for the expedient reason that at the time the commission did not have clear legal authority or support to go further. The result is that FERC has approved new rules, agreements, and protocols in several systems, but the rules are still in the context of the old wheeling methodology. In Order 2000, FERC made great advances in responding to the need for market design that is suitable for full competition and recognizes the complexity of electricity markets. It defined the RTO concept and told utilities to form them. It required an RTO to have operational authority for all transmission facilities under its control and to be the security coordinator for its region. FERC's objective was for all transmission-owning entities in the United States to place their transmission facilities under the control of appropriate RTOs in a timely manner. But although Order 2000 allowed all the things that would make for full competition, it did not require them. It seemed that it was written by two people—one who defined the necessary criteria for full competition, and the other who tied the requirements back to accommodate the constraints of the wheeling model, OASIS, and all the paraphernalia of defining paths through someone else's system. FERC did require some of the things that are undeniably prerequisites for full competition, but it did not eliminate the vestiges of the wheeling model, and indeed it continued to require some of them. The need for standard cohesive trading arrangements conceived "in the public interest" (i.e., with efficiency, liquidity, and transparency as a major objective) is at the heart of the current institutional problems. It has held center stage for a decade and has not been resolved, deflecting corporate and regulatory energy from arguably more fundamental issues. The SMD initiative is an encouraging sign that FERC is ready to make major changes to solve these problems—as long, of course, as they are prepared to make a true shift from wheeling to the integrated trading model. |
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